Business

AMD Stock: The Challenge Against Nvidia's AI Dominance

Published October 12, 2024

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) has just revealed its latest advancements in AI technology, setting its sights on competing with Nvidia Corp (NVDA).

During a recent AI-focused event, AMD showcased its ambition to capture a larger share of the growing AI market, featuring new hardware, strategic partnerships, and promising future developments. The key question remains: can this underdog effectively challenge the established leader in AI accelerators?

AI Market Outlook: The Future is Expanding

AMD’s AI event was not merely a preview of new products; it served as a bold statement about the company’s future. Analysts have revised AMD’s AI accelerator total addressable market (TAM) prediction from $400 billion in 2027 to an impressive $500 billion by 2028. This upward revision reflects the accelerating deployment of AI models and expanding use cases.

While growth in TAM might slow as we approach 2028, AMD’s existing platforms, including CPUs, GPUs, and DPUs, position the company well to take advantage of this AI wave. Additionally, AMD's acquisition of ZT Systems is expected to enhance production efficiency and customer onboarding, further underscoring its commitment to rapid growth.

MI325X GPU: AMD's Key Player in AI

The highlight of the event was the announcement of AMD’s MI325X GPU, designed to compete directly with Nvidia's H200 HGX for AI training. While the MI325X performs well in training scenarios, it excels in AI inferencing, outpacing Nvidia's offerings by a factor of 1.4. Production of this GPU is set to begin soon, and AMD has plans for the MI350, expected to deliver a 1.8x increase in AI computing performance by 2025, demonstrating AMD’s determination to remain competitive in the GPU landscape.

However, analysts caution that this race is long-term. Although AMD is ramping up its efforts, Nvidia’s existing market dominance presents a substantial hurdle, and gaining meaningful market share will require patience and persistence.

Server CPUs: AMD's Stronghold

Amd is also maintaining momentum in its core CPU market. The company unveiled its next-generation EPYC processors, codenamed "Turin," which are built on the advanced Zen 5 architecture. These processors deliver a remarkable 40% performance improvement over Intel's Granite Rapids, aiding AMD's continued expansion in the server CPU market.

Recent data indicates that AMD’s share of the server CPU market increased from 31% to 34% in the first half of 2024, and the new Turin processors are expected to contribute to further growth in this segment.

Strategic Partnerships and Software: A Winning Combination

In addition to hardware innovation, AMD is also making headway on the software front. The latest release of the ROCm 6.2 software stack has demonstrated a significant 2.4x improvement in AI inference performance, which is crucial for remaining competitive, given that software optimization increasingly plays a key role in AI applications.

Strategic alliances with major cloud providers like Meta Platforms Inc, Microsoft Corp, and Oracle Corp provide AMD with the partnerships necessary to support its aggressive market strategies.

Looking Ahead: The Road to AI Competition

While AMD’s recent AI event showcased a technology company poised for battle, the challenge of unseating Nvidia will not be straightforward. Analysts maintain a cautious outlook, with one suggesting a price target of $180 for AMD by the end of 2025. This reflects optimism about AMD’s efforts in ramping up AI accelerators and server offerings over the next few years.

Investors should closely monitor AMD stock as the company embarks on its most ambitious push into AI yet; this competition is one to watch closely.

AMD, AI, Nvidia