Investment

Analyzing C3.ai's Performance: Is It the Right Time to Buy?

Published December 7, 2023

After the market closed last Wednesday, C3.ai, an artificial intelligence (AI) company, reported its earnings for fiscal second quarter. The results sparked a notable decline in the company's stock value, following an 8% drop in after-hours trading. Although C3.ai succeeded in beating the expected per-share loss projections, posting only a $0.13 loss per share compared to the anticipated $0.18 loss, the company's revenue of $73.2 million didn't meet Wall Street's forecast of $74.3 million.

What do C3.ai's Q2 results mean for investors?

The latest financials show a yearly increase of 17.3% in sales, yet only a 1.2% raise from the previous quarter. This sluggish quarter-to-quarter sales growth is of interest to investors. Moreover, the company has seen a reduction in its gross profit. This is due in part to costlier product releases and discounted pilot pricing, leading to a fall in its adjusted gross profit margin from last year's 81% to the current 69%.

Looking ahead, the company's management predicts continuous pressure on gross margins but expects that sales will still rise throughout the rest of the fiscal year. However, whether this sales growth can be sustained in the long term remains questionable, especially considering C3.ai's less impressive performance in the previous year, which now serves as an easy comparison for current year-over-year growth data.

The demand for AI services has indeed shaped the performance of various tech companies, but C3.ai's growth remains relatively unremarkable in this context. Additionally, the company's declining remaining performance obligations (RPO) indicate that a massive upswing in demand for their AI services shouldn't be anticipated.

Is C3.ai Stock a Good Buy?

Though C3.ai has experienced some volatile market fluctuations, its stock has been notably high this year. The elevated stock price appears to be driven more by a broader market enthusiasm for AI rather than the company's own victories in the sector. With the company valued at around 11 times this fiscal year's expected sales, C3.ai's stock may be considered overvalued given its recent business performance and short-term growth forecast.

As a conclusion, it seems more prudent for investors to observe C3.ai's progression for more significant achievements in AI before considering an investment. In the interim, it may be worth exploring other potential investment opportunities within the AI market space.

C3.ai, Stock, Investment