Investment

Meta's Record High RSI Potentially Signals a Bullish Trend

Published February 2, 2024

The concept of a stock being 'overbought' is typically seen as a warning sign in the investment world, indicating that a stock may have ascended too quickly and could be due for a correction. However, in the case of Meta Platforms Inc., a state of being overbought could reflect underlying market strength.

Meta's shares saw a substantial surge, climbing 20.9% and closing at an all-time high of $474.99 after the company reported impressive earnings. This climb marked one of the most significant single-day gains since the company went public in May 2012, surpassed only by jumps following earnings in February 2023 and July 2013.

A key momentum gauge, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), points to an 86.48 reading for Meta's stock, the highest since July 2013, when it reached an all-time high of 89.39. While a reading above 70 often signals an overbought condition and a potential slowdown, it also indicates strong upward momentum.

History suggests that Meta's high RSI may not be a cause for concern. Following the company's public debut, Meta experienced a prolonged slump. However, the July 2013 earnings report not only propelled the stock price but also lifted the RSI above 88, marking the start of a sustained bullish period for the company. Similarly, a post-earnings RSI reading above 85 in February 2023 laid the groundwork for another long-term upswing.

As investors delve into this technical indicator, it's crucial to remember that extremely high RSI readings have previously coincided with early stages of growth rather than the peak, suggesting that Meta's current stock rally might be more of a bullish leap than a momentary spike.

Considerations for Investors

It's essential for investors to recognize that while Meta's stock shows overbought conditions, it doesn't imply an immediate reversal. Historical patterns have demonstrated that such scenarios can precede major rallies. The fact Meta's stock jumped just days after posting a record high, without encountering any previous price resistance, supports the possibility of continued growth and investor confidence.

Meta, RSI, Stock