Investment

The 'Magnificent Seven' ETFs Projected to Lead S&P 500 Gains into 2024

Published December 27, 2023

As financial landscapes evolve, a set of powerhouse stocks known colloquially as the 'Magnificent Seven' have carved out a dominant position that's predicted to bolster their growth through 2024. These seven—Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Tesla, and Meta Platforms—have already had a considerable impact on market dynamics, particularly within the S&P 500. In fact, they're hailed for driving a significant portion of the increase seen in the index over the previous year.

Spotlight on the 'Magnificent Seven'

The influence of these tech giants is so pronounced that they represented a staggering 28% of the S&P 500's total weight. Contributing to an impressive rally, these companies embodied 76% of the index's growth in 2023, collectively holding a market valuation of over $11 trillion. Analysts, such as those from Goldman Sachs, anticipate that the 'Magnificent Seven' will again outpace the vast majority of S&P 500 component stocks in the upcoming year.

Potential Catalysts for Growth

Several factors are set to underpin the robust performance expected from these titans. The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is a major theme, with companies like Nvidia and Meta Platforms seeing profound gains due to their advances in AI. In 2023 alone, Nvidia's shares erupted by 239%, and Meta's by 191%. With AI anticipated to keep gaining traction, innovations from these firms could continue to captivate the market.

Cloud computing also shows no signs of slowing down. Dominated by Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet, the cloud sector is projected to flourish, expanding from $122 billion in 2023 to an estimated $446 billion by 2032. While they navigate some economic headwinds and heightened competition, the financial stability and strong fundamentals of these tech behemoths suggest that they're well-positioned for sustained growth.

Goldman Sachs underscores the seven companies' healthier growth rates, profit margins, balance sheets, and reasonable valuations compared to their peers. These factors contribute to a future where their CAGR could eclipse that of other index members significantly.

Even with high price-to-earnings ratios, these stocks appear attractively valued when factoring in growth. Specifically, when assessed against the 10-year average on a price-to-earnings-growth basis, the valuations align with median market projections.

Challenges That May Arise

Investors should note, however, that the path forward may not be without its bumps. Tesla, for instance, could confront stronger competition and dampened market share. The electric vehicle maker's dominance has seen a decline in the U.S. market, and with electric vehicles in China being more affordable, Tesla must innovate to maintain its growth curve.

There are concerns that due to factors such as limited and higher-priced vehicle ranges, demand for Tesla could taper off. Regulatory changes aiming to boost electric vehicle usage also put pressure on the company to adapt and offer more economically accessible options.

Investing Through ETFs

For those looking to invest in these seven companies indirectly, several ETFs offer concentrated exposure. Noteworthy among them are the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF, MicroSectors FANG+ ETN, Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF, Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF, and iShares S&P 100 ETF. Each of these funds features substantial holdings in the 'Magnificent Seven,' allowing investors a way to participate in their potential success.

growth, tech, ETFs